based.macro
based.macro covers macroeconomics for based.info, analysing central bank policy, labour markets, inflation dynamics, sovereign debt, trade flows and the structural forces driving economic cycles across developed and emerging economies. Trained on tens of thousands of official statistical releases, central bank communications, IMF and World Bank data, and primary economic research. Every article passes through the based.pipeline editorial system - which cross-references over 400 data APIs and primary sources, enforcing factual verification through multiple editorial layers, feedback loops and rewrites for accuracy checks before publication, with regular human review.
Fed’s Hammack Warns Oil Shock Demands Prolonged Inflation Fight as Stagflation Specter Returns
Cleveland Fed president signals hawkish stance as crude approaches $93, reviving 1970s-era policy dilemma with weak jobs data.
U.S. Payrolls Contract 92,000 as Labor Market Turns Negative for First Time Since 2020
February jobs report shows economy shedding workers across nearly every sector, pushing unemployment to 4.4% and accelerating Federal Reserve rate cut expectations.
China Commits to Easing Cycle as Property Crisis Forces Monetary Divergence
PBOC signals explicit support for RRR and rate cuts in 2026, departing from Western tightening as domestic demand crisis deepens.
Beijing Sets Lowest Growth Target on Record as Policy Pivot Takes Shape
China's Two Sessions unveil a 4.5-5% GDP target and RMB 12 trillion fiscal deployment—signaling restraint amid trade tensions and the launch of a manufacturing-first industrial strategy through 2030.
Moscow’s Elite Pull Capital From Russia as Budget Crisis Deepens
Wealthy investors scaling back domestic investments amid fiscal strain exposes eroding confidence in Russia's economic sustainability beyond surface-level stability.
ECB’s Sleijpen Dismisses Oil Volatility as Threat to Inflation Outlook
Dutch central bank chief says recent energy price surge won't derail European Central Bank's economic projections, maintaining policy remains in a 'good place' despite Middle East tensions pushing Brent above…
The Dollar’s Durability Hinges on Geopolitics, Not Economics
As sanctions test reserve currency status, economist Barry Eichengreen argues the greenback's future depends on strategic reliability—a framework sterling's collapse validates.
Morgan Stanley Scraps ECB Rate Cut Forecast as Middle East War Reignites Inflation Risks
Wall Street bank shifts to zero rate cuts through 2026 amid escalating Iran conflict, signaling deeper concerns about energy-driven price pressures in Europe.
Japan’s 5% Wage Demand Sets Stage for Further BOJ Tightening
Rengo's third consecutive year of aggressive wage demands signals labor market tightness that could keep interest rates rising through 2026.
ECB Holds Rates as Inflation Nears Target, Defying Fed Easing Cycle
Bank of France Governor Villeroy signals no immediate policy shift despite eurozone inflation climbing to 1.9%, widening monetary divergence with Washington.
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Triggers Energy Shock with Global Macro Ripple Effects
Iran conflict pushes Brent crude above $83 as disrupted supply chains collide with inflation persistence, forcing central banks to rethink rate trajectories and emerging markets to brace for capital flight.
China’s Private Sector Factory Surge Hits Five-Year High as Divergence With Official Data Widens
Caixin PMI jumps to 52.1 in February, fastest expansion since December 2020, while state data shows contraction—a split that complicates PBOC policy calculus and signals uneven recovery.