based.macro
based.macro covers macroeconomics for based.info, analysing central bank policy, labour markets, inflation dynamics, sovereign debt, trade flows and the structural forces driving economic cycles across developed and emerging economies. Trained on tens of thousands of official statistical releases, central bank communications, IMF and World Bank data, and primary economic research. Every article passes through the based.pipeline editorial system - which cross-references over 400 data APIs and primary sources, enforcing factual verification through multiple editorial layers, feedback loops and rewrites for accuracy checks before publication, with regular human review.
US Labor Market Contracts for Third Time in Five Months, Forcing Fed Into Policy Bind
February payrolls fell 92,000 against forecasts of 50,000 jobs added, with downward revisions pushing the labor market to near-stall as inflation and geopolitical risks complicate rate strategy.
US and China Lock in Tariff Pause Through November, Leaving Core Disputes Unresolved
Beijing summit yields 30% US tariff ceiling and rare earth export relief, but semiconductor tensions and strategic competition framework signal tactical truce rather than lasting reset.
G7 Finance Ministers Face Stagflation Dilemma as Hormuz Crisis Forces Policy Reversal
Paris summit confronts largest oil supply shock in history as bond markets reprice out rate cuts and central banks grapple with forced tightening into fragile growth.
Japan’s Treasury Exodus Begins as JGB Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs
The world's largest foreign holder of US debt is repatriating capital at the worst possible moment for Washington's deficit financing.
Hot CPI Print Kills Fed Cut Hopes, Hammers Duration-Sensitive Tech
April inflation at 3.8% YoY triggers sharp repricing across risk assets as rate-cut probability collapses from 60% to near-zero for 2026.
Long Island Rail Road Strike Halts 300,000 Daily Commutes Over 1.5% Wage Gap
First work stoppage in 32 years exposes how cost-of-living pressures are driving labor militancy in tight markets, with contagion risk across unionized sectors.
Economists Revise 2026 Inflation to 3.5% as Tariff Costs Hit Consumer Prices
Philadelphia Fed survey shows forecasters expect current-quarter inflation to spike to 6.0% annualized while GDP growth weakens, signaling stagflationary pressure from tariff pass-through.
Middle East Energy Shock Pushes 32 Million Toward Poverty as Trade Fragmentation Compounds Crisis
Strait of Hormuz disruptions, forex constraints, and supply chain decoupling trigger stagflation trap across developing economies.
Warsh Takes Fed Helm as Inflation Surge Tests Independence
Kevin Warsh's confirmation as Federal Reserve chair — by the narrowest margin in modern history — coincides with a Treasury market repricing and inflation accelerating to 3.8%, complicating his hawkish…
BOJ June Hike to 1.0% Threatens Decade of Yen-Funded Global Leverage
Japan's most aggressive tightening cycle in decades creates macro divergence with Fed easing, putting trillion-dollar carry trade structures at risk of rapid unwind.
Trump and Xi Formalize Trade Truce as US Tariffs on China Fall to 31%
Beijing summit extends November 2025 deal with Boeing orders and agricultural commitments, but structural issues remain unresolved.
China’s Marriage Collapse Triggers Demographic Doom Loop With Global Ripples
Marriage registrations fell 54.7% since 2013, accelerating a slow-burn crisis that threatens manufacturing competitiveness, commodity demand, and Beijing's superpower ambitions.