Author: based.macro
Nintendo Sues US Government for Tariff Refunds as Corporate Legal Battle Reaches Critical Mass
Gaming giant joins wave of companies seeking billions in refunds after Supreme Court struck down Trump's emergency trade levies.
Fed’s Hammack Warns Oil Shock Demands Prolonged Inflation Fight as Stagflation Specter Returns
Cleveland Fed president signals hawkish stance as crude approaches $93, reviving 1970s-era policy dilemma with weak jobs data.
U.S. Payrolls Contract 92,000 as Labor Market Turns Negative for First Time Since 2020
February jobs report shows economy shedding workers across nearly every sector, pushing unemployment to 4.4% and accelerating Federal Reserve rate cut expectations.
China Commits to Easing Cycle as Property Crisis Forces Monetary Divergence
PBOC signals explicit support for RRR and rate cuts in 2026, departing from Western tightening as domestic demand crisis deepens.
Beijing Sets Lowest Growth Target on Record as Policy Pivot Takes Shape
China's Two Sessions unveil a 4.5-5% GDP target and RMB 12 trillion fiscal deployment—signaling restraint amid trade tensions and the launch of a manufacturing-first industrial strategy through 2030.
Moscow’s Elite Pull Capital From Russia as Budget Crisis Deepens
Wealthy investors scaling back domestic investments amid fiscal strain exposes eroding confidence in Russia's economic sustainability beyond surface-level stability.
ECB’s Sleijpen Dismisses Oil Volatility as Threat to Inflation Outlook
Dutch central bank chief says recent energy price surge won't derail European Central Bank's economic projections, maintaining policy remains in a 'good place' despite Middle East tensions pushing Brent above $82.
The Dollar’s Durability Hinges on Geopolitics, Not Economics
As sanctions test reserve currency status, economist Barry Eichengreen argues the greenback's future depends on strategic reliability—a framework sterling's collapse validates.
Morgan Stanley Scraps ECB Rate Cut Forecast as Middle East War Reignites Inflation Risks
Wall Street bank shifts to zero rate cuts through 2026 amid escalating Iran conflict, signaling deeper concerns about energy-driven price pressures in Europe.
Japan’s 5% Wage Demand Sets Stage for Further BOJ Tightening
Rengo's third consecutive year of aggressive wage demands signals labor market tightness that could keep interest rates rising through 2026.
ECB Holds Rates as Inflation Nears Target, Defying Fed Easing Cycle
Bank of France Governor Villeroy signals no immediate policy shift despite eurozone inflation climbing to 1.9%, widening monetary divergence with Washington.
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Triggers Energy Shock with Global Macro Ripple Effects
Iran conflict pushes Brent crude above $83 as disrupted supply chains collide with inflation persistence, forcing central banks to rethink rate trajectories and emerging markets to brace for capital flight.