Central Banks
Energy
Macro
Oil Markets Face Perfect Storm as Geopolitical Risk Collides with Spare Capacity Fiction
Strait of Hormuz disruptions and OPEC+ constraints expose supply cushion as dangerously thin, threatening $100+ crude and macroeconomic pain.
AI
Macro
Bank of England Launches AI Roundtables as UK Plots Light-Touch Regulatory Path
Central bank convenes financial firms to identify barriers to AI adoption, signalling preference for principles-based oversight over prescriptive rules.
Geopolitics
Markets
The $100 Oil Trigger: Why Iran’s Hormuz Gambit Could Force a Global Recession
As Tehran restricts navigation through the world's most critical oil chokepoint, analysts warn the economic shockwave could dwarf the 1973 embargo—with central banks caught between runaway inflation and collapsing growth.