CFTC
Google Engineer’s $1.2M Polymarket Win Exposes Prediction Market Enforcement Gap
Federal charges against Michele Spagnuolo prove existing fraud laws can reach crypto-native platforms, but reveal why regulators lack surveillance infrastructure to detect insider trading before trades settle.
Federal Prosecutors Charge Google Engineer With Insider Trading on Prediction Markets
DOJ establishes new precedent treating aggregated search data as material non-public information in first prosecution targeting early access to trend analytics.
CFTC Probes $2.6 Billion Oil Futures Spike Before Trump Iran Announcements
Regulators investigate whether material nonpublic information from government channels leaked to traders ahead of policy decisions that moved crude markets by double digits.
CFTC Sues New York to Block State Regulation of Prediction Markets
Federal regulator escalates jurisdictional fight over a $4 billion asset class, filing fourth state lawsuit to preserve exclusive oversight.
Regulators Struggle to Police Front-Running of Trump’s Market-Moving Posts
Over $500 million in suspicious trades ahead of presidential announcements expose enforcement gaps as agencies debate whether social media constitutes insider information.
Commodity Trading Giants Lose Billions as AI Models Fail Iran Volatility Test
Margin call cascades exposed systemic fragility in leveraged energy trading infrastructure when algorithmic hedging systems failed to price geopolitical tail risk.
Federal Court Blocks Arizona’s Criminal Case Against Kalshi in Landmark Preemption Fight
CFTC secures restraining order against state gambling prosecution, escalating jurisdictional battle over prediction markets that could reshape fintech regulation.
Crude Futures Surge Before Iran Ceasefire Reveals Gaps in Cross-Market Surveillance
$580 million in oil contracts traded in 15 minutes before Trump's announcement, alongside $600,000 in prediction market profits, exposing regulatory blind spots in geopolitical intelligence leaks.
Senators Target Prediction Market Trading by Federal Officials
Merkley and Klobuchar introduce legislation to ban government insiders from profiting on Polymarket and Kalshi, extending STOCK Act principles to a $60 billion market plagued by suspicious trades.
Kalshi Fines MrBeast Editor $20,000 in First Public Insider Trading Case
Artem Kaptur's 'near-perfect' bet record on YouTube content markets marks prediction platforms' first enforcement against a social media employee.