China Competition

Geopolitics Macro

Trump’s $1.5 Trillion Defense Budget Tests Reconciliation Limits Amid $2 Trillion Deficit

A procedurally controversial dual-mechanism approach pairs $1.15 trillion in base spending with $350 billion via budget reconciliation, exposing both geopolitical ambition and fiscal fragility.

8 min read ·
AI Geopolitics

Pentagon Ban on Anthropic Weaponizes Supply-Chain Authority Against Domestic AI Firms

Trump administration's designation of Anthropic as national security risk marks first use of foreign-adversary procurement powers against a U.S. company, forcing AI startups to choose between safety principles and defense contracts.

8 min read ·
AI Macro

Bezos’s $100 Billion Manufacturing Bet Signals Capital Shift to Industrial AI

Largest single private-sector commitment to automation infrastructure arrives as reshoring collides with unfilled jobs and China's productivity race.

7 min read ·
Energy Technology

TerraPower Wins First Advanced Reactor Permit in 50 Years, Marking U.S. Nuclear Comeback Attempt

Bill Gates-backed sodium reactor gets NRC clearance in Wyoming, setting up race with China on next-generation nuclear and test of whether new designs can break cost spiral.

8 min read ·
Geopolitics

The Shipyard Paradox: How Trump’s Maritime Plan Sidesteps the Industrial Collapse It Promised to Fix

Administration's blueprint emphasizes regulation and allied investment over recommendations to rebuild domestic capacity—leaving the U.S. with 232 times less shipbuilding tonnage than China.

8 min read ·