Energy Policy

Energy Geopolitics

Trump Opens Arctic Refuge to Drilling as Banks and Oil Majors Step Back

Administration auctions 688,829 acres in ANWR despite industry's cold shoulder and financial sector exodus from Arctic projects.

7 min read ·
Energy Macro

White House Ties Fed Rate Cuts to Oil Price Relief, Repositioning Energy as Primary Monetary Lever

Kevin Hassett's explicit framing of oil markets as the transmission mechanism for Fed policy marks a strategic shift from traditional inflation targeting, with rate-cut timing now dependent on Iran deal outcomes.

7 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Ukraine Faces Sanctions Dilemma as Russian Oil Revenues Surge Past $10 Billion

Expired Trump administration waivers leave Kyiv uncertain whether constraints on Moscow's energy income will hold with Brent above $109.

7 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

US Lets Russian Oil Waiver Expire as Global Market Faces 1.78 Million Barrel Daily Deficit

Trump administration prioritizes sanctions enforcement over price stability, eliminating relief valve as Hormuz closure and OPEC+ weakness amplify stagflation risk through 2027.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Iran Conflict Locks In Fossil Fuel Infrastructure Despite Record Clean Energy Investment

Security-driven LNG expansion and gas diversification are delaying net-zero targets by 3-5 years across major economies, creating a dual-track energy system that prioritizes independence over decarbonization.

8 min read ·
AI Energy

Wyoming Nuclear Approval Signals AI’s Energy Endgame

TerraPower's reactor license marks the moment AI compute demands began rewriting US energy strategy—and the start of a baseload arms race with China.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

UAE Exits OPEC After 60 Years, Stripping Cartel of Second-Largest Spare Capacity

The withdrawal removes a core pillar of production discipline as the organization struggles to enforce 2 million bpd cuts amid Iran war-driven price volatility.

7 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

UAE Quits OPEC as Iran War Pushes Oil Above $114, Leaving Saudi Arabia Alone to Manage Supply Shocks

The cartel's third-largest producer exits effective May 1, collapsing OPEC's market share below 30% for the first time as Brent trades near four-year highs and inflation holds at 3.3%.

7 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

UAE Exits OPEC After 59 Years, Fracturing Cartel Amid Record Oil Supply Disruption

Abu Dhabi's May 1 withdrawal marks the first major Gulf defection since Qatar, driven by production quota disputes with Saudi Arabia as Brent surges past $111 amid Strait of Hormuz closure.

9 min read ·
Energy Markets

$885 million in offshore wind lease cancellations deepen US fossil fuel pivot as oil prices breach $100

Two additional developers walk away from federal leases as geopolitical energy shocks expose inflation risks of hydrocarbon dependency.

7 min read ·
AI Energy

China’s Nuclear Buildout Reshapes the AI Arms Race

Beijing's state-directed energy expansion is creating the infrastructure foundation for AI dominance while the U.S. struggles with grid constraints and permitting delays.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Mexico reverses fracking ban as gas dependency collides with energy crisis

Sheinbaum abandons climate pledge to drill domestically, citing 75% reliance on US imports and Iran-driven LNG volatility

7 min read ·