Energy Prices
Macro
Markets
Eurozone PMI Collapse Signals Stagflation Trap as Energy Shock Meets Growth Stall
March flash data shows composite activity at 10-month lows while input costs surge to three-year highs, leaving ECB with no viable policy path.
Macro
Markets
UK Gilt Yields Hit 15-Year High as Energy Shock Forces BoE Into Stagflation Trap
Yields breach 4.9% as Iran war reprices terminal rates, creating fiscal sustainability crisis for Reeves while growth stalls at zero.
Geopolitics
Markets
UK Mortgage Rates Surge as Middle East Conflict Sparks Inflation Fears
Major lenders raise rates up to 0.25% as geopolitical crisis disrupts Bank of England rate cut expectations and energy prices soar.
Macro
What Is the Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate and Why Does It Matter?
The Fed's twin goals of maximum employment and stable prices explain every interest rate decision—and why AI is creating unprecedented policy tensions.