IAEA

Geopolitics Knowledge Base

What Is the Iran Nuclear Deal (JCPOA) and Why Did It Collapse?

The 2015 agreement was designed to prevent Iran from building a nuclear weapon—its unravelling reshaped Middle East security dynamics and created the escalation pathway now threatening global oil markets.

9 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Iran’s Khondab Reactor Goes Dark—But 440 kg of Enriched Uranium Remains Unaccounted For

IAEA confirms plutonium production pathway offline after Israeli strikes, yet nuclear weapons timeline hinges on 60%-enriched uranium stockpile now scattered across damaged, unmonitored sites.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

Israel Strikes Iran’s Arak Reactor, Crossing Nuclear Infrastructure Red Line

First assault on declared civilian atomic facility rewrites deterrence calculus as oil hits $112 and Trump extends diplomatic deadline amid domestic pressure.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

Projectile Strikes Iran’s Bushehr Nuclear Plant, Crossing Atomic Infrastructure Red Line

Second attack in eight days lands 350 metres from reactor core, forcing Russian evacuations and raising spectre of radiological disaster as conflict enters nuclear escalation phase.

9 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

Strike Near Bushehr Nuclear Plant Crosses IAEA’s ‘Reddest Line’ as Oil Markets Whipsaw on Conflicting Signals

Projectile lands 350 metres from Iran's only operational reactor while crude swings 13% on Trump negotiation claims Tehran denies.

6 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

IAEA Confirms Natanz Nuclear Strike as Iran-Israel Conflict Crosses Nonproliferation Threshold

IAEA verification blackout leaves 440kg of weapons-grade uranium unaccounted for as nuclear infrastructure becomes active war target for first time since June 2025 strikes.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

Iran Strikes Israel’s Dimona Nuclear Complex, Crosses Strategic Red Line

First direct attack on nuclear weapons facility since 2024 signals Iran's shift from deterrence to escalatory cost imposition as Strait of Hormuz closure reshapes global energy markets.

7 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

Netanyahu Claims Iran’s Nuclear Capacity Destroyed as IAEA Admits It Cannot Verify Damage

Israeli prime minister asserts 20-day campaign eliminated uranium enrichment infrastructure, but UN atomic agency says inspectors lack facility access amid largest oil supply disruption in history.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

Russia Condemns Strike on Iran’s Bushehr Nuclear Plant as Conflict Reaches Critical Infrastructure

First direct attack on operational nuclear reactor in Middle East conflict triggers Moscow's formal protest and IAEA emergency protocols amid escalating radiation fears.

7 min read ·