Inflation

Geopolitics Markets

UK Mortgage Rates Surge as Middle East Conflict Sparks Inflation Fears

Major lenders raise rates up to 0.25% as geopolitical crisis disrupts Bank of England rate cut expectations and energy prices soar.

7 min read ·
Macro Markets

Fed’s Hammack Warns Oil Shock Demands Prolonged Inflation Fight as Stagflation Specter Returns

Cleveland Fed president signals hawkish stance as crude approaches $93, reviving 1970s-era policy dilemma with weak jobs data.

8 min read ·
Energy Markets

Europe Gas Prices Poised for Biggest Weekly Jump in Three Years as Middle East Conflict Cuts LNG Supply

Benchmark TTF prices surge 50% as Qatar halts production and Strait of Hormuz disruption removes 20% of global LNG from markets, reviving 2022 energy crisis fears.

9 min read ·
Macro

ECB’s Sleijpen Dismisses Oil Volatility as Threat to Inflation Outlook

Dutch central bank chief says recent energy price surge won't derail European Central Bank's economic projections, maintaining policy remains in a 'good place' despite Middle East tensions pushing Brent above $82.

7 min read ·
Energy Markets

Oil’s March Toward $200: Supply Shocks Eclipse Strategic Reserve Defenses

Strait of Hormuz closure and pipeline outages drive Brent above $85 as depleted SPRs and constrained OPEC+ spare capacity expose fragile supply buffers.

8 min read ·
Macro Markets

Chip Stocks Sink as Oil Surges Past $83, Raising Inflation Fears

Semiconductor sector led Wednesday's selloff on export restrictions and Middle East energy shock—a divergence that threatens Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations.

8 min read ·
Macro Markets

Morgan Stanley Scraps ECB Rate Cut Forecast as Middle East War Reignites Inflation Risks

Wall Street bank shifts to zero rate cuts through 2026 amid escalating Iran conflict, signaling deeper concerns about energy-driven price pressures in Europe.

9 min read ·
Macro Technology

Japan’s 5% Wage Demand Sets Stage for Further BOJ Tightening

Rengo's third consecutive year of aggressive wage demands signals labor market tightness that could keep interest rates rising through 2026.

8 min read ·
Macro Markets

ECB Holds Rates as Inflation Nears Target, Defying Fed Easing Cycle

Bank of France Governor Villeroy signals no immediate policy shift despite eurozone inflation climbing to 1.9%, widening monetary divergence with Washington.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Markets

Iran Conflict Shuts Strait of Hormuz, Sends Fertiliser Prices Soaring as Food Shortage Warnings Mount

Military strikes in the Persian Gulf have effectively closed a waterway handling one-third of global fertiliser trade, triggering price spikes and warnings of crop shortfalls during critical Northern Hemisphere planting season.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Markets

Bessent Signals 15% Universal Tariff Imminent as Markets Brace for Policy Shock

Treasury Secretary's 'this week' timeline for tariff escalation marks sharp pivot from targeted duties to blanket protectionism, testing investor appetite and global trade architecture.

9 min read ·
Energy Macro

Strait of Hormuz Crisis Triggers Energy Shock with Global Macro Ripple Effects

Iran conflict pushes Brent crude above $83 as disrupted supply chains collide with inflation persistence, forcing central banks to rethink rate trajectories and emerging markets to brace for capital flight.

9 min read ·