Insider Trading

Markets

Regulators Struggle to Police Front-Running of Trump’s Market-Moving Posts

Over $500 million in suspicious trades ahead of presidential announcements expose enforcement gaps as agencies debate whether social media constitutes insider information.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Markets

Crude Futures Surge Before Iran Ceasefire Reveals Gaps in Cross-Market Surveillance

$580 million in oil contracts traded in 15 minutes before Trump's announcement, alongside $600,000 in prediction market profits, exposing regulatory blind spots in geopolitical intelligence leaks.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Markets

Crude Oil Trades 15 Minutes Before Trump’s Iran Announcement Trigger Insider Trading Probe

Approximately 6,200 futures contracts worth $580 million executed at 6:49 a.m. ET on March 23—before Trump posted about ceasefire talks—expose how thin premarket liquidity creates billion-dollar front-running windows for politically connected traders.

8 min read ·
Geopolitics Technology

Senators Target Prediction Market Trading by Federal Officials

Merkley and Klobuchar introduce legislation to ban government insiders from profiting on Polymarket and Kalshi, extending STOCK Act principles to a $60 billion market plagued by suspicious trades.

7 min read ·
AI

OpenAI Fires Employee Over Prediction Market Trading Using Confidential Information

The termination marks the first confirmed enforcement action by a major AI company against insider trading on cryptocurrency-based betting platforms, establishing a governance precedent as tech firms confront a regulatory vacuum.

7 min read ·
Markets

Kalshi Fines MrBeast Editor $20,000 in First Public Insider Trading Case

Artem Kaptur's 'near-perfect' bet record on YouTube content markets marks prediction platforms' first enforcement against a social media employee.

7 min read ·