Interest Rates
Morgan Stanley Scraps ECB Rate Cut Forecast as Middle East War Reignites Inflation Risks
Wall Street bank shifts to zero rate cuts through 2026 amid escalating Iran conflict, signaling deeper concerns about energy-driven price pressures in Europe.
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Triggers Energy Shock with Global Macro Ripple Effects
Iran conflict pushes Brent crude above $83 as disrupted supply chains collide with inflation persistence, forcing central banks to rethink rate trajectories and emerging markets to brace for capital flight.
What Is the Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate and Why Does It Matter?
The Fed's twin goals of maximum employment and stable prices explain every interest rate decision—and why AI is creating unprecedented policy tensions.
OBR Warns Iran Conflict Could Deliver ‘Significant’ Hit to UK Economy as Gilt Yields Spike
The fiscal watchdog flagged Middle East tensions as a key risk to its forecasts as 10-year gilt yields jumped to 4.30% amid renewed inflation fears and energy market turmoil.
Payrolls Data Becomes Fed’s Pivot Point as Rate Cut Debate Intensifies
With the Federal Reserve holding rates at 3.5-3.75%, Friday's employment report will test whether January's 130,000 job gain marks a labor market turning point or a statistical anomaly.