Iran Crisis

Energy Macro

Germany’s Business Confidence Collapses to Six-Year Low as Iran Crisis Exposes Energy Fragility

ifo index falls to 84.4, lowest since pandemic, as Strait of Hormuz blockade triggers energy cost volatility, supply chain disruption, and eurozone recession fears.

7 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Europe faces systemic jet fuel shortage as Hormuz closure exposes refinery collapse

Three weeks of imports remain before aviation gridlock hits the continent, crystallising 25 years of strategic dependency on Middle Eastern supply.

8 min read ·
Energy Macro

US and Canada accelerate Keystone XL revival as Iran crisis exposes crude transport bottlenecks

Partial pipeline resurrection targets 550,000 bpd capacity amid Strait of Hormuz closure and $100+ oil—framed as energy security infrastructure, not climate policy reversal.

7 min read ·
Energy Macro

EPA Eyes Summer Fuel Standard Waiver as Oil Tops $108

Trump administration weighs Reid Vapor Pressure relief to cut gasoline costs amid Iran crisis and election-year inflation pressure.

7 min read ·
The Wire Daily

Stagflation Trap Tightens as Hormuz Crisis Ruptures Global Order

Oil shock collides with U.S. job losses while China accelerates petroyuan push and AI economics hit inflection point

8 min read ·
The Wire Daily

The Stagflation Trap Closes

Job losses collide with $100 oil as the Fed's policy space vanishes and alliances fracture under the weight of an escalating Iran crisis.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Washington Eases Russia Sanctions as Paris Vows Harder Line

US rolls back oil penalties to contain Iran war fallout while Macron pledges sustained pressure on Moscow, exposing fracture in Western strategy as Ukraine war enters year five.

9 min read ·