Iran
The Fed’s $110 Oil Problem
Markets are pricing two rate cuts by summer. Oil just crossed $100. One forecast will prove catastrophically wrong.
The Alliance Dividend: Why Transactional Geopolitics Can’t Replace Democratic Partnerships
As Iran crisis tests coordinated response and hemispheric realignment sidelines major democracies, U.S. faces hard questions about what it loses when alliances become purely transactional.
Oil at $91, Grid Collapse, and Diplomatic Fractures as Three Crises Test European Security Architecture
From Tehran's civilian infrastructure damage to Cuba's energy paralysis, today's developments expose the fragility of international rules and the acceleration of geopolitical fragmentation.
Digital Siege: How Iranians Are Using Technology to Survive Inside the Blackout
One week into the war, 90 million people are cut off at 1% connectivity - but citizens are routing through Starlink, Telegram, and VPNs to document strikes and reach family abroad.
U.S. Intelligence Assessment Deems Iran Regime Change ‘Unlikely’ Despite Active Military Campaign
Classified National Intelligence Council report contradicts Trump administration's stated goals as energy markets weigh deterrence policy over supply disruption.
Explosion at US Embassy in Oslo Extends Pattern of Attacks on American Diplomatic Posts
Norwegian police confirm blast at consular entrance with no injuries, as incident adds to wave of embassy security events across NATO and Gulf states.
Iran Intensifies Internal Security Warnings as Gulf Crisis Deepens
Tehran's heightened espionage rhetoric and crackdown measures signal regime vulnerability amid ongoing strikes and energy chokepoint paralysis.
Iran Launches Preemptive Strikes on Kurdish Bases as Ground Offensive Threat Escalates
Tehran strikes opposition positions in Iraq as CIA-backed Kurdish forces prepare cross-border campaign that could open new front in US-Israeli war.
Dahieh Evacuation: Israel Orders 500,000 From Beirut Suburbs as Regional War Spreads
Israeli strikes and mass displacement orders across Lebanon have killed 217 and displaced over 110,000 as Hezbollah re-enters a broader U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran.
Iran Signals Conditional Halt to Regional Strikes as Power Balance Complicates Diplomatic Shift
President Pezeshkian's pledge follows eight days of escalating conflict, but IRGC dominance and immediate violations raise questions about Tehran's actual command authority.
Tehran Strikes Expose Civilian Infrastructure Damage as Oil Hits $91
Joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran have killed over 1,300 people and hit schools, hospitals, and historic sites, while satellite imagery reveals extensive targeting of police stations in dense urban areas—raising legal questions as crude prices surge to their highest level since late 2022.
Saudi Arabia Accelerates Iran Diplomacy as Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Vision 2030
Riyadh deploys backchannels to contain US-Israel war with Iran, shielding $2 trillion economic transformation from regional spillover.