Labor Markets

Macro Technology

Trump’s $100,000 H-1B Fee Survives First Court Test as Tech Giants Face Material Cost Shock

Federal judge upholds presidential authority to impose 50-fold visa fee increase affecting Amazon, Microsoft, and Google while business groups mount appeals ahead of March lottery.

9 min read ·
AI Macro

India’s $250 Billion Outsourcing Empire Faces AI Existential Threat

Generative AI tools now automate repetitive tasks that employ 5 million Indians, triggering worst IT stock crash in two decades and raising questions about the future of labor arbitrage.

9 min read ·
Macro Technology

Japan’s 5% Wage Demand Sets Stage for Further BOJ Tightening

Rengo's third consecutive year of aggressive wage demands signals labor market tightness that could keep interest rates rising through 2026.

8 min read ·
AI Macro

The Fed’s AI Dilemma: Productivity Promises Meet Labor Market Disruption

Federal Reserve officials acknowledge deep uncertainty as generative AI threatens to decouple employment from inflation, testing the central bank's dual mandate and forcing policymakers to model economic dynamics they can't yet measure.

9 min read ·
Geopolitics Technology

China’s Humanoid Robot Dominance Widens as U.S. Struggles to Scale

Chinese firms now control 90% of global humanoid robot shipments, replicating the electric vehicle playbook while Tesla's Optimus remains in R&D and U.S. startups face deployment delays.

8 min read ·
AI Technology

Rajan Dismisses AI Doomsday Scenario for India’s $224 Billion IT Sector

Former RBI chief calls disruption real but manageable, pushes back on Citrini Research forecast warning of economic collapse by 2028.

7 min read ·