OECD

Geopolitics Macro

OECD Quantifies China’s Subsidy Edge at 8:1, Exposing WTO’s Structural Failure

New data reveals Chinese firms received up to eight times more state support than Western competitors across two decades, with subsidies reaching 10% of revenue in strategic sectors.

7 min read ·
Energy Macro

US Inflation Forecast Surges to 4.2% as Iran Conflict Reshapes Fed Policy Calculus

OECD projects highest G7 inflation driven by energy shock, forcing central banks to abandon rate-cut expectations as Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten stagflation.

9 min read ·
Geopolitics Macro

Australia’s Treasury Models Stagflation From Iran Conflict, First OECD Government to Quantify Combined Shock

Official forecasts show inflation peaking near 5% while GDP contracts up to 0.6%, revealing how energy-dependent developed economies face policy dilemmas with no good options.

8 min read ·