OPEC+

Energy Geopolitics

Drone Penetrates Iraqi Air Defenses, Ignites Oil Facility Fire

A second successful drone strike in 24 hours on Basra infrastructure exposes vulnerability in legacy defense systems as regional energy war escalates.

7 min read ·
Energy Markets

Oil’s March Toward $200: Supply Shocks Eclipse Strategic Reserve Defenses

Strait of Hormuz closure and pipeline outages drive Brent above $85 as depleted SPRs and constrained OPEC+ spare capacity expose fragile supply buffers.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Baghdad Airport Under Fire as Iraq Oil Exports Face Disruption Amid US-Iran War

Attacks on US military installations at Baghdad International Airport threaten crude flows from OPEC's second-largest producer as Middle East conflict pushes oil past $81 per barrel.

7 min read ·
Energy Markets

Iraq Shuts Rumaila Supergiant as Gulf Crisis Chokes 3 Million Barrels Per Day

Storage tanks overflow as tanker gridlock forces production halt at world's third-largest producing field amid escalating US-Iran conflict.

7 min read ·
Energy Macro

Oil Markets Face Perfect Storm as Geopolitical Risk Collides with Spare Capacity Fiction

Strait of Hormuz disruptions and OPEC+ constraints expose supply cushion as dangerously thin, threatening $100+ crude and macroeconomic pain.

8 min read ·
Energy Markets

JPMorgan Maps $120 Oil Scenario as Strait of Hormuz Traffic Freezes

The bank maintains a $60 base case for 2026 but warns military escalation and chokepoint closures could double prices, with spare capacity concentrated in conflict zones.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Markets

Oil Markets Defy Logic as Iran War Risk Premium Outweighs OPEC+ Supply

Analysts forecast crude prices could surge 5-15% despite cartel production increases, as geopolitical disruption risk overwhelms supply fundamentals.

7 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Gulf States Front-Run Iranian Supply Risk with Highest Crude Exports Since 2022

Saudi Arabia and UAE accelerate shipments to 16.1 million bpd amid renewed tensions, while insurance costs surge 60% for Strait of Hormuz transit as markets price in potential disruption.

8 min read ·