OPEC+

Energy Macro

Oil Near $100 Threatens S&P Rally as Fed Abandons Rate-Cut Path

Energy shock from Strait of Hormuz closure forces 'higher-for-longer' policy, pressuring tech valuations and reviving stagflation fears.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Fujairah Attacks Expose the Strait of Hormuz End Game

As UAE's last bypass route faces repeated strikes and global oil buffers race toward depletion by mid-July, markets confront the reality that $120 crude isn't speculation—it's arithmetic.

8 min read ·
Energy Macro

Strait of Hormuz Disruption to Persist Through Year-End, OPEC+ Briefed

Four months into the closure, energy markets face structural repricing as central banks navigate stagflation and AI infrastructure costs surge.

6 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Iraq faces 11-gigawatt summer blackout as Iran war cuts gas imports by 67%

With peak demand forecast at 40 gigawatts against 29 GW supply, geopolitical energy dependence becomes humanitarian crisis.

7 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

US ends Russian oil sanctions waiver as energy statecraft trumps market management

White House lets critical exemption expire, hardening economic pressure on Moscow despite $109 Brent crude and domestic gasoline at $4.50 per gallon.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

US Lets Russian Oil Waiver Expire as Global Market Faces 1.78 Million Barrel Daily Deficit

Trump administration prioritizes sanctions enforcement over price stability, eliminating relief valve as Hormuz closure and OPEC+ weakness amplify stagflation risk through 2027.

8 min read ·
Energy Markets

Berkshire Dumps $8 Billion in Chevron as Buffett Regime Exits Peak Oil Rally

Warren Buffett's successor liquidates 35% of energy position at all-time highs while crude tops $106—signaling institutional retreat from geopolitical risk premium as cash hoard nears $380 billion.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Geopolitics

UAE’s OPEC Exit Fractures Cartel Structure as Iran War Masks Supply Impact

Abu Dhabi's May 1 withdrawal removes second-largest producer with 4.8 million bpd capacity, amplifying Saudi-Emirati rift while Strait of Hormuz closure obscures immediate market effects.

9 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Gulf Oil Producers Shift Strategic Reserves to South Korea as Hormuz Closure Reshapes Energy Logistics

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since late February, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait are securing storage at South Korean facilities—a structural hedge against chokepoint risk that accelerates Asian energy independence.

7 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

ASEAN Summit Exposes Post-OPEC Energy Order as 650M-Person Bloc Hedges Between China and Quad

Middle East conflict and coal scarcity force Southeast Asia to abandon climate targets while navigating fragmented cartel power and geopolitical fault lines.

8 min read ·
Energy Macro

Saudi Arabia cuts June oil premium by $4 as demand destruction outweighs Hormuz risk

Aramco's first significant retreat from record pricing signals kingdom's tactical shift as measured demand loss replaces geopolitical premium maximization.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy

Ukraine Shuts Russia’s Third-Largest Refinery in Escalating Energy War

Drone strike on Kirishi refinery (270k bpd) compounds global diesel squeeze as refining margins hit multi-year highs

7 min read ·