Persian Gulf

Breaking Energy Macro

Gulf Crude Output Down 57% as Goldman Warns of 12-Month Volatility Window

Goldman Sachs analysis reveals 14.5 million barrels per day offline in April, triggering physical crude panic at $150/bbl while futures markets lag—institutional positioning suggests repricing shock if Strait closure extends.

8 min read ·
Energy Geopolitics

Iranian Drone Strike on Kuwaiti Tanker Off Dubai Signals Shift to Commercial Targets

Al Salmi attack marks escalation from military assets to civilian infrastructure, threatening $1.7 trillion in annual Gulf maritime trade as insurance costs spike and 20,000 seafarers remain stranded.

7 min read ·
Breaking Geopolitics Macro

Persian Gulf Conflict Triggers Dual Commodity Shock as Fertilizer Crisis Compounds Energy Disruption

UN FAO warns cascading food security risks as 30% of global fertilizer trade stalls, creating rare dual energy-agriculture shock with immediate humanitarian consequences.

8 min read ·