PMI

Energy Macro

Energy shock splits global economy as Strait closure forces divergent rate paths

Eurozone and Japan face stagflation by year-end while US manufacturing hits two-year high, revealing bifurcated recession tied to energy dependency.

8 min read ·
Macro Markets

Eurozone PMI Collapse Signals Stagflation Trap as Energy Shock Meets Growth Stall

March flash data shows composite activity at 10-month lows while input costs surge to three-year highs, leaving ECB with no viable policy path.

7 min read ·
Macro

China’s Private Sector Factory Surge Hits Five-Year High as Divergence With Official Data Widens

Caixin PMI jumps to 52.1 in February, fastest expansion since December 2020, while state data shows contraction—a split that complicates PBOC policy calculus and signals uneven recovery.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Macro

China’s Services Sector Hits 33-Month High While Western Peers Stall

February PMI surge to 56.7 signals consumption resilience despite property crisis, widening gap with manufacturing-led slowdowns across US and Europe.

9 min read ·