Polymarket
Macro
Markets
CFTC Sues New York to Block State Regulation of Prediction Markets
Federal regulator escalates jurisdictional fight over a $4 billion asset class, filing fourth state lawsuit to preserve exclusive oversight.
Geopolitics
Markets
Crude Oil Trades 15 Minutes Before Trump’s Iran Announcement Trigger Insider Trading Probe
Approximately 6,200 futures contracts worth $580 million executed at 6:49 a.m. ET on March 23—before Trump posted about ceasefire talks—expose how thin premarket liquidity creates billion-dollar front-running windows for politically connected traders.
Geopolitics
Technology
Senators Target Prediction Market Trading by Federal Officials
Merkley and Klobuchar introduce legislation to ban government insiders from profiting on Polymarket and Kalshi, extending STOCK Act principles to a $60 billion market plagued by suspicious trades.