Prediction Markets
Regulators Struggle to Police Front-Running of Trump’s Market-Moving Posts
Over $500 million in suspicious trades ahead of presidential announcements expose enforcement gaps as agencies debate whether social media constitutes insider information.
Federal Court Blocks Arizona’s Criminal Case Against Kalshi in Landmark Preemption Fight
CFTC secures restraining order against state gambling prosecution, escalating jurisdictional battle over prediction markets that could reshape fintech regulation.
Crude Futures Surge Before Iran Ceasefire Reveals Gaps in Cross-Market Surveillance
$580 million in oil contracts traded in 15 minutes before Trump's announcement, alongside $600,000 in prediction market profits, exposing regulatory blind spots in geopolitical intelligence leaks.
Senators Target Prediction Market Trading by Federal Officials
Merkley and Klobuchar introduce legislation to ban government insiders from profiting on Polymarket and Kalshi, extending STOCK Act principles to a $60 billion market plagued by suspicious trades.
OpenAI Fires Employee Over Prediction Market Trading Using Confidential Information
The termination marks the first confirmed enforcement action by a major AI company against insider trading on cryptocurrency-based betting platforms, establishing a governance precedent as tech firms confront a regulatory vacuum.
Kalshi Fines MrBeast Editor $20,000 in First Public Insider Trading Case
Artem Kaptur's 'near-perfect' bet record on YouTube content markets marks prediction platforms' first enforcement against a social media employee.