Productivity

AI Macro

The $1 Trillion Question: Where Are AI’s Productivity Returns?

Big Tech is deploying record capital into AI infrastructure, but economists see minimal GDP impact and zero workplace productivity gains—forcing a reckoning over whether massive capex reflects transformation or misallocation.

8 min read ·
AI Macro

Bezos’s $100 Billion Manufacturing Bet Signals Capital Shift to Industrial AI

Largest single private-sector commitment to automation infrastructure arrives as reshoring collides with unfilled jobs and China's productivity race.

7 min read ·
AI Macro

ECB Confronts AI’s Dual Inflation Threat as Europe Lags US and China

Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel warns central banks face radical uncertainty as AI promises deflationary productivity gains while risking wage displacement and short-term cost-push inflation.

9 min read ·
AI Macro

The Fed’s AI Dilemma: Productivity Promises Meet Labor Market Disruption

Federal Reserve officials acknowledge deep uncertainty as generative AI threatens to decouple employment from inflation, testing the central bank's dual mandate and forcing policymakers to model economic dynamics they can't yet measure.

9 min read ·
AI Technology

Developer Builds Working Scheme Compiler in 4 Days Using Claude AI

Matthew Phillips' rapid construction of Puppy Scheme compiler demonstrates AI's accelerating capacity to tackle traditionally complex software engineering tasks.

7 min read ·
Geopolitics Macro

Blair Institute Calls for Labour Market Flexibility to Reverse UK Growth Stagnation

Think tank warns government's Employment Rights Act risks undermining competitive advantage as productivity lags Europe by widest margin in decades.

9 min read ·
AI Technology

AI’s Speed Problem: When Innovation Outruns the Business Model

Technology companies face unprecedented pricing pressure as artificial intelligence capabilities become obsolete within months, creating a fundamental mismatch between development velocity and revenue capture.

7 min read ·