RBA
Geopolitics
Macro
Australia’s Treasury Models Stagflation From Iran Conflict, First OECD Government to Quantify Combined Shock
Official forecasts show inflation peaking near 5% while GDP contracts up to 0.6%, revealing how energy-dependent developed economies face policy dilemmas with no good options.
Macro
Markets
RBA’s Narrow 5-4 Split Vote Exposes Central Bank Fragmentation on Stagflation Risk
Australia's rate decision reveals deep disagreement on whether oil-shock inflation warrants tightening—a microcosm of global monetary policy's thorniest dilemma.