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13:17
Geopolitics Markets
The Safe Haven That Wasn’t: How US Treasurys Lost Their Crisis Credential
Four decades of dominance are unraveling as investors flee to gold, central banks diversify reserves, and geopolitical tensions expose structural cracks in the world's benchmark…
based.markets · 8 min read
13:08
Geopolitics
Israeli Strikes on Lebanon Displace Thousands as Oil Markets React to Wider Iran Conflict
Mass civilian exodus toward Syria compounds Lebanon's economic crisis while energy chokepoints drive crude prices to one-year highs.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
12:45
Geopolitics Markets
Americans Pay 90% of Tariff Costs as Supreme Court Forces Policy Reset
New research traces $287 billion in customs revenue to domestic consumers and businesses, while Bank of Japan holds rates steady amid diverging central bank policies.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
12:34
Geopolitics
Trump Bypassed Congress on Iran Strikes, Intensifying Constitutional War Powers Debate
President launched military operation without congressional authorization, calling it 'war' while lawmakers mobilize to reassert constitutional oversight powers.
based.geopolitics · 9 min read
11:34
Geopolitics Technology
Drone Strikes Take AWS Data Centers Offline in UAE, Marking First Military Attack on Hyperscaler Infrastructure
Three Amazon facilities in the Gulf sustained structural damage from Iranian drone attacks, forcing prolonged outages and exposing the vulnerability of cloud infrastructure in conflict…
based.geopolitics · 9 min read
11:28
Energy Geopolitics
EU Pressures Ukraine to Repair Druzhba Pipeline as Hungary Blocks €90 Billion Loan
The damaged Soviet-era oil artery has trapped Kyiv between EU energy demands and accusations from Budapest and Bratislava—while Moscow's revenue hangs in the balance.
based.energy · 9 min read
11:15
Energy Geopolitics
Canada and India Lock In $2.6 Billion Uranium Deal as Diplomatic Ice Melts
Prime Minister Mark Carney secured a decade-long nuclear fuel supply agreement in Delhi, resetting ties frozen since 2023's assassination crisis.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
10:34
Geopolitics
Myanmar Junta Releases 7,300 Political Prisoners in Calculated Pre-Parliament Maneuver
Mass amnesty excludes Aung San Suu Kyi as military seeks legitimacy ahead of new parliament session and mounting regional isolation.
based.geopolitics · 9 min read
10:14
Geopolitics Markets
Dimon Warns Markets Complacent on Iran Escalation as Oil Hits $79, VIX Stays Muted
JPMorgan CEO cautions investors underpricing geopolitical tail risk after weekend strikes spark only limited volatility despite effective closure of critical energy chokepoint.
based.markets · 8 min read
09:32
Geopolitics Markets
Korean Equities Collapse 7% as Middle East Crisis Triggers Foreign Exodus
The KOSPI recorded its steepest decline in 19 months amid escalating geopolitical tensions and a sharp selloff by foreign investors.
based.markets · 8 min read
09:22
Geopolitics
Senate Intelligence Vice Chair Warner Contradicts White House on Iran Threat
Gang of Eight member states there was no imminent threat from Tehran, undercutting Trump administration's central justification for military strikes.
based.geopolitics · 9 min read
09:02
Geopolitics Macro
Iran-Israel War Threatens Macro Stability Through Oil Shock, Inflation Risk
Escalating conflict pushes Brent crude past $79 as Federal Reserve faces renewed inflation pressure amid growth concerns.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
07:37
Geopolitics
Washington Sanctions Rwanda’s Military Over Congo Intervention
US Treasury freezes assets of Rwanda Defence Force and four senior commanders for supporting M23 rebels accused of mass atrocities in eastern DRC.
based.geopolitics · 7 min read
07:28
Energy Geopolitics
Europe Gas Crisis Returns as Iran Conflict Drives Prices to €46/MWh
Qatar halts LNG production after Iranian strikes on Gulf energy hubs, sending European TTF futures up 45% and exposing the continent's persistent dependence on volatile…
based.energy · 9 min read
07:17
Geopolitics Macro
ECB’s Lane Warns Iran Conflict Could Trigger Eurozone Stagflation
Chief economist says prolonged Middle East war threatens substantial inflation spike and sharp output drop as oil prices surge 10% amid Strait of Hormuz disruption.
based.macro · 8 min read
07:07
Geopolitics Macro
The Safe Haven Paradox: Where Investors Turn When Nothing Feels Safe
As traditional havens fracture under geopolitical strain and sovereign debt fears, a multi-trillion dollar scramble is reshaping how the world protects wealth.
based.macro · 9 min read
16:25
Energy Geopolitics
Iranian Drone Strike Closes Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura Refinery as Gulf Energy Infrastructure Enters Attack Radius
A precision drone strike forced the shutdown of a 550,000-barrel-per-day refinery as Tehran expands retaliation beyond military targets, exposing the vulnerability of critical oil infrastructure…
based.geopolitics · 9 min read
16:25
Geopolitics
Britain Denies State of War After Iranian Drone Strikes Sovereign Cyprus Base
RAF Akrotiri hit by Shahed drone in first attack on British sovereign soil since 1986, exposing NATO's grey zone and London's precarious position in expanding…
based.geopolitics · 9 min read
16:12
Geopolitics
The Shipyard Paradox: How Trump’s Maritime Plan Sidesteps the Industrial Collapse It Promised to Fix
Administration's blueprint emphasizes regulation and allied investment over recommendations to rebuild domestic capacity—leaving the U.S. with 232 times less shipbuilding tonnage than China.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
15:32
Energy Geopolitics
Gulf Capital Targets Europe’s Energy-Starved Aluminium Industry
Bahrain's Alba acquires Europe's largest smelter in strategic bid to leverage sub-$40/MWh Gulf power costs against European rates exceeding €85/MWh.
based.energy · 8 min read
Markets via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko
S&P 500 6,695 +1%
NASDAQ 22,374 +1.2%
BRENT $101.18 -1.9%
GOLD 4,994 -1.3%
BTC $73,900 +2.8%
DXY 100.0 +0%
EUR/USD 1.1478 +0%
10Y UST 4.27% +6bp
Crypto Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
Infrastructure
AWS
Azure OK
GCP OK
Cloudflare Degraded
GitHub OK
OpenAI OK
Anthropic OK