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08:36
Energy Macro
China’s PPI Exits 41-Month Deflation as Commodity Shock Threatens Global Margins
March's 0.5% gain breaks three-year decline, but energy-driven reversal forces central banks into stagflation trap while reshoring accelerates.
based.macro · 8 min read
04:32
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Saudi Energy Facilities Go Offline as Iranian Strikes Continue Despite Ceasefire
Attacks halt operations at multiple oil and gas sites, cutting 600,000 bpd from production capacity and exposing fragility of US-Iran truce announced 24 hours earlier.
based.energy · 7 min read
04:26
Energy Geopolitics
Pakistan Gambles on Iran-US Mediation as Energy Security Hangs in Balance
Islamabad's unprecedented diplomatic push secured a fragile ceasefire, but success depends on talks starting Saturday and the durability of Trump's engagement.
based.geopolitics · 7 min read
03:25
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Israel’s 303-death Lebanon barrage tests ceasefire hours after Iran truce, risking diplomatic collapse
The largest Israeli air operation since 1982 struck 100+ targets in 10 minutes on April 8, forcing Washington to broker emergency talks as Iran threatens…
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
03:12
Energy Macro
March CPI Release Tests Whether Iran Energy Shock Breaks Fed Rate Cut Forecast
Today's inflation data becomes first hard read on whether energy spike remains transitory or forces structural repricing of 2026 monetary policy.
based.macro · 7 min read
02:08
Energy Geopolitics
Israel Opens Direct Lebanon Talks Hours After 303-Civilian Strike
Netanyahu's negotiation pivot follows deadliest Beirut raid since March escalation, testing Trump's fragile Iran ceasefire framework.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
01:06
Energy Geopolitics
Beirut Strikes Expose Ceasefire Built on Incompatible Terms
Israel's 100-strike assault on Lebanon hours after Iran deal reveals fundamental disagreement over scope, triggering oil shock and regional escalation the ceasefire was meant to…
based.geopolitics · 6 min read
00:05
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Israeli Strikes Kill 300+ in Lebanon as Ceasefire Unravels, Oil Reverses 15% Drop
Deadliest single episode in decades collapses two-day truce, reignites Strait of Hormuz blockade and exposes fundamental disagreement over ceasefire scope.
based.geopolitics · 7 min read
17:03
Energy Technology
Aspen Aerogels Explosion Threatens Aerospace and Clean Energy Supply Chains
Thirteen workers hospitalized after manufacturing blast at critical aerogel supplier already facing 66% revenue collapse and impairment charges.
based.energy · 7 min read
16:02
Energy Geopolitics
Vance Heads to Islamabad as Lebanon Strikes Threaten Fragile Iran Ceasefire Before Talks Begin
VP's Saturday negotiation mission faces collapse after Israeli bombardment kills 254, exposing U.S.-Iran split over ceasefire scope and Lebanon's inclusion.
based.geopolitics · 7 min read
15:01
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Israel’s Deadliest Lebanon Strike Unravels Trump’s Iran Ceasefire Within Hours
Netanyahu's assault killed 254 people on April 8, exploiting diplomatic ambiguity that now threatens Vance's Pakistan negotiations and sends oil back above $100.
based.geopolitics · 6 min read
13:07
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Israel’s Lebanon strikes threaten to collapse US-Iran ceasefire hours after announcement
Coordinated airstrikes killing 254 people expose fundamental disagreement over ceasefire scope as Iran threatens Strait of Hormuz closure and oil markets swing $28 per barrel.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
12:04
AI Energy
Bitcoin Miners Lose Grid Priority as AI Data Centers Lock Up Power Contracts
With AI infrastructure offering 3x the revenue per megawatt, crypto mining operations are liquidating Bitcoin treasuries and pivoting wholesale to AI hosting—a structural shift reshaping…
based.energy · 9 min read
10:46
Energy Macro
US Gasoline Hits $4.08 as Strait of Hormuz Ceasefire Unravels
Fragile Iran-Israel truce collapses within 24 hours, sending fuel prices back toward record highs and forcing Fed to recalibrate inflation response.
based.energy · 7 min read
09:45
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Netanyahu Sets Nuclear Threshold as Ceasefire Red Line, Triggering Oil Market Repricing
Israeli PM demands Iran eliminate 440kg uranium stockpile via negotiation or military force within two-week window, while largest coordinated Hezbollah strike hours after ceasefire collapses…
based.geopolitics · 7 min read
08:14
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Israeli Strike on Hezbollah Chief Qassem Hours After Iran Ceasefire Triggers Oil Volatility, Strait of Hormuz Closure Threat
Targeting of Naim Qassem and 254 Lebanese deaths on April 8 expose ceasefire framework collapse as Brent crude swings $17/barrel and Tehran weighs Hormuz response.
based.geopolitics · 7 min read
07:14
Energy Geopolitics
Mexico reverses fracking ban as gas dependency collides with energy crisis
Sheinbaum abandons climate pledge to drill domestically, citing 75% reliance on US imports and Iran-driven LNG volatility
based.energy · 7 min read
06:14
Energy Macro
Valero Blast Hits US Diesel Output Amid Fragile Ceasefire and Zero Spare Capacity
Port Arthur refinery explosion knocks out 47,000 bpd of diesel production as refineries run at 93% utilization and geopolitical risks mount.
based.energy · 6 min read
00:55
Energy Macro
Exxon’s 300,000 Barrel-Per-Day Loss Exposes Supply Fragility as Ceasefire Masks Persistent Inflation Risk
Middle East conflict severed 6% of ExxonMobil's global output while Brent crude remains 35% above pre-war levels despite ceasefire, complicating Fed's inflation mandate as supply…
based.energy · 8 min read
20:50
Breaking Energy Geopolitics
Saudi pipeline strike hours after ceasefire tests fragile Iran truce
Drone attack on East-West pipeline—carrying 5 million barrels daily to bypass Hormuz—raises questions about Tehran's compliance as oil markets wait for damage assessment.
based.energy · 7 min read
Markets via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko
S&P 500 7,501 +1.1%
NASDAQ 26,518 +1.9%
BRENT $80.59 +0.9%
GOLD 4,173 -1.7%
BTC $63,125 +0.8%
DXY 100.8 +0%
EUR/USD 1.1467 +0%
10Y UST 4.49% +6bp
Crypto Fear & Greed
14
Extreme Fear
Infrastructure
AWS
Azure OK
GCP Degraded
Cloudflare Degraded
GitHub OK
OpenAI Degraded
Anthropic OK