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15:34
Breaking Macro Markets
U.S. Payrolls Contract 92,000 as Labor Market Turns Negative for First Time Since 2020
February jobs report shows economy shedding workers across nearly every sector, pushing unemployment to 4.4% and accelerating Federal Reserve rate cut expectations.
based.macro · 8 min read
13:13
Macro Technology
Axel Springer Outbids Daily Mail With £575 Million Telegraph Deal
German media conglomerate torpedoes DMGT's acquisition in one of Britain's largest newspaper transactions in years, betting on a centre-right English-language empire.
based.info · 8 min read
11:49
Macro
China Commits to Easing Cycle as Property Crisis Forces Monetary Divergence
PBOC signals explicit support for RRR and rate cuts in 2026, departing from Western tightening as domestic demand crisis deepens.
based.macro · 7 min read
11:37
Macro Markets
Beijing Sets Lowest Growth Target on Record as Policy Pivot Takes Shape
China's Two Sessions unveil a 4.5-5% GDP target and RMB 12 trillion fiscal deployment—signaling restraint amid trade tensions and the launch of a manufacturing-first industrial…
based.macro · 9 min read
10:36
Macro
Moscow’s Elite Pull Capital From Russia as Budget Crisis Deepens
Wealthy investors scaling back domestic investments amid fiscal strain exposes eroding confidence in Russia's economic sustainability beyond surface-level stability.
based.macro · 7 min read
08:46
Macro
ECB’s Sleijpen Dismisses Oil Volatility as Threat to Inflation Outlook
Dutch central bank chief says recent energy price surge won't derail European Central Bank's economic projections, maintaining policy remains in a 'good place' despite Middle…
based.macro · 7 min read
03:13
Macro Markets
Chip Stocks Sink as Oil Surges Past $83, Raising Inflation Fears
Semiconductor sector led Wednesday's selloff on export restrictions and Middle East energy shock—a divergence that threatens Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations.
based.markets · 8 min read
17:58
Macro Markets
The Dollar’s Durability Hinges on Geopolitics, Not Economics
As sanctions test reserve currency status, economist Barry Eichengreen argues the greenback's future depends on strategic reliability—a framework sterling's collapse validates.
based.macro · 9 min read
15:20
Macro Markets
Morgan Stanley Scraps ECB Rate Cut Forecast as Middle East War Reignites Inflation Risks
Wall Street bank shifts to zero rate cuts through 2026 amid escalating Iran conflict, signaling deeper concerns about energy-driven price pressures in Europe.
based.macro · 9 min read
13:48
Macro Technology
Trump’s $100,000 H-1B Fee Survives First Court Test as Tech Giants Face Material Cost Shock
Federal judge upholds presidential authority to impose 50-fold visa fee increase affecting Amazon, Microsoft, and Google while business groups mount appeals ahead of March lottery.
based.info · 9 min read
13:13
AI Macro
India’s $250 Billion Outsourcing Empire Faces AI Existential Threat
Generative AI tools now automate repetitive tasks that employ 5 million Indians, triggering worst IT stock crash in two decades and raising questions about the…
based.ai · 9 min read
08:51
Macro Technology
Japan’s 5% Wage Demand Sets Stage for Further BOJ Tightening
Rengo's third consecutive year of aggressive wage demands signals labor market tightness that could keep interest rates rising through 2026.
based.macro · 8 min read
07:56
Macro Markets
ECB Holds Rates as Inflation Nears Target, Defying Fed Easing Cycle
Bank of France Governor Villeroy signals no immediate policy shift despite eurozone inflation climbing to 1.9%, widening monetary divergence with Washington.
based.macro · 7 min read
08:49
Geopolitics Macro
Japan and US Prepare Nuclear Project for $550 Billion Infrastructure Deal
Tokyo's landmark investment package adds atomic power component, marking Japan's strategic reversal fifteen years after Fukushima as energy security trumps domestic opposition.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
06:50
Energy Macro
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Triggers Energy Shock with Global Macro Ripple Effects
Iran conflict pushes Brent crude above $83 as disrupted supply chains collide with inflation persistence, forcing central banks to rethink rate trajectories and emerging markets…
based.macro · 9 min read
04:55
Geopolitics Macro
China’s Cash-for-Babies Program Fails as Population Crisis Deepens
Beijing's nationwide subsidy scheme has done nothing to halt a demographic collapse threatening economic stability and geopolitical power.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
02:15
Macro
China’s Private Sector Factory Surge Hits Five-Year High as Divergence With Official Data Widens
Caixin PMI jumps to 52.1 in February, fastest expansion since December 2020, while state data shows contraction—a split that complicates PBOC policy calculus and signals…
based.macro · 7 min read
02:07
Geopolitics Macro
China’s Services Sector Hits 33-Month High While Western Peers Stall
February PMI surge to 56.7 signals consumption resilience despite property crisis, widening gap with manufacturing-led slowdowns across US and Europe.
based.macro · 9 min read
21:20
Macro
What Is the Federal Reserve’s Dual Mandate and Why Does It Matter?
The Fed's twin goals of maximum employment and stable prices explain every interest rate decision—and why AI is creating unprecedented policy tensions.
based.macro · 9 min read
09:02
Geopolitics Macro
Iran-Israel War Threatens Macro Stability Through Oil Shock, Inflation Risk
Escalating conflict pushes Brent crude past $79 as Federal Reserve faces renewed inflation pressure amid growth concerns.
based.geopolitics · 8 min read
Markets via Yahoo Finance / CoinGecko
S&P 500 7,557 +0%
NASDAQ 26,711 -0.5%
BRENT $95.26 -2.6%
GOLD 4,507 +0.9%
BTC $63,956 -4.2%
DXY 99.2 +0%
EUR/USD 1.1640 +0%
10Y UST 4.46% -1bp
Crypto Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
Infrastructure
AWS
Azure OK
GCP OK
Cloudflare Degraded
GitHub OK
OpenAI OK
Anthropic OK