Goldman Sachs

AI

Blackstone, Goldman Sachs Back Anthropic With $1.5B Joint Venture as Wall Street Goes Direct on Frontier AI

Traditional finance's shift from passive tech exposure to direct equity stakes in AI infrastructure validates Anthropic's $380B valuation despite extreme multiples.

8 min read ·
Breaking Energy Macro

Gulf Crude Output Down 57% as Goldman Warns of 12-Month Volatility Window

Goldman Sachs analysis reveals 14.5 million barrels per day offline in April, triggering physical crude panic at $150/bbl while futures markets lag—institutional positioning suggests repricing shock if Strait closure extends.

8 min read ·
Energy Macro

Goldman Sees Fast Gulf Oil Recovery — If Politics Cooperate

The bank projects 70% of lost production restored within three months of Hormuz reopening, but the strait remains closed as geopolitical deadlock persists.

7 min read ·
Macro Markets

Basel III Reversal Frees $200 Billion for US Banks—Now Comes the Allocation Fight

Federal regulators' March 2026 capital rule overhaul hands mega-banks unprecedented firepower for lending expansion or shareholder returns, reshaping credit markets and bank equity valuations.

7 min read ·
Energy Macro

Goldman Raises US Recession Odds to 30% as Oil Shocks Replace Fed Rates as Master Variable

Energy supply constraints—not monetary policy—now drive both growth and inflation outcomes, trapping the Fed in a stagflationary policy bind.

7 min read ·
Energy Macro

Goldman Raises Oil Forecasts as Iran Supply Shock Threatens Fed Rate Path

Analysts call it the largest supply disruption in oil market history—and it's forcing the Federal Reserve into an inflation trap that could erase the entire 2026 rate-cut cycle.

8 min read ·
Energy Macro

Goldman Sachs Projects Oil at $110 Through 2027 as Supply Shock Rewrites Macro Baseline

Strait of Hormuz disruption and decade-long underinvestment force Wall Street to abandon sub-$80 consensus, with cascading implications for Fed policy, corporate margins, and energy transition economics.

8 min read ·
Macro Markets

India Burns $11.7bn in Forex Reserves in One Week as Iran War Drains Currency Defense

RBI's steepest reserve decline since November 2024 exposes the cost of defending the rupee against geopolitical shocks—and signals broader emerging-market vulnerability.

6 min read ·