Interest Rates
Fed’s Dovish Governor Signals Rate-Cut Retreat as Inflation Dynamics Deteriorate
Stephen Miran's hawkish pivot erases rate-cut expectations and threatens tech valuations as 10-year yields surge past 4.3%.
Gasoline Shock Drives US Inflation to 3.3%, Erasing Fed Rate Cut Bets
March CPI surge—largest monthly jump in four years—forces policy reset as war-driven energy spike revives stagflation fears and squeezes household budgets.
Fed Confronts New Inflation Regime as Energy Shock Forces Policy Pivot
March FOMC minutes reveal deep concern over wage-price dynamics and structural shifts in neutral rate assumptions amid unprecedented oil disruption.
Larry Summers Challenges Disinflation Consensus as Markets Price Zero Fed Cuts
The economist who called the 2021 inflation surge warns against premature victory declarations, complicating rate-cut expectations as Treasury yields hover near nine-month highs.
Fed Trapped as Energy Shock Meets Sticky Inflation
March CPI data will test whether Powell can anchor expectations as geopolitical oil premium embeds in headline inflation and core refuses to budge.
March Jobs Beat Forces Fed Rate-Cut Rethink as Terminal Rate Debate Heats Up
178k payroll additions triple forecasts, cementing 'higher for longer' regime and triggering aggressive repricing across rate-sensitive assets.
Oil Shock Erases Fed Rate-Cut Narrative as Inflation Risk Climbs Toward 4%
Iran-related supply disruption triggers largest energy shock in history, forcing markets to reprice 2026 macro outlook as stagflationary headwinds intensify.
Fed Rate Hike Odds Hit 12% as Oil Shock Triggers Stagflation Repricing
Markets reverse six weeks of rate-cut expectations as Brent crude surges past $112 and core inflation holds at 2.7%—testing Powell's final months before transition.
Powell’s Hawkish Hold Triggers 768-Point Dow Rout as Fed Kills Rate Cut Hopes
Chair's explicit pushback on near-term easing forces brutal cross-asset repricing despite Iran conflict and $107 oil, breaking S&P below critical support.
Powell’s Hawkish Pivot Erases $1.2 Trillion in Market Value as Fed-Wall Street Disconnect Widens
Fed chair's rejection of near-term rate cuts triggers 775-point Dow selloff, forcing repricing across equities, bonds, and corporate debt as inflation persistence trumps growth concerns.
Powell Attributes Persistent Inflation to Trump Tariffs as Energy Shock Stalls Rate Cuts
Fed chair quantifies tariff pass-through at 0.5–0.75 percentage points while Middle East crisis creates impossible policy bind between baseline inflation and demand destruction.
Oil Breaks $100 as Iran Standoff Collides With Fed Rate Calculus
WTI crude breaches triple digits for first time since 2022 while VIX surges past 27, forcing markets to price geopolitical supply shock against diminishing rate-cut expectations.